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The Official Nov 2026 Elections thread

26,438 Views | 502 Replies | Last: 2 hrs ago by sycasey
sycasey
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dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Polls had it D+44

Yeah I don't know that anyone believed that or really cared about Guam polls. A 7-point swing would be in line with national polls though.


Lol the people who did the poll did.


Who did the poll?

Looks like an opt-in online poll by some firm called Pasquines? Doesn't seem very serious to me. This isn't the kind of thing the New York Times is doing.

https://pasquines.us/2026/10/29/terlaje-and-limtiaco-lead-pasquines-poll-in-guams-governor-and-delegate-races/
BearlySane88
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sycasey said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Polls had it D+44

Yeah I don't know that anyone believed that or really cared about Guam polls. A 7-point swing would be in line with national polls though.


Lol the people who did the poll did.


Who did the poll?

Looks like an opt-in online poll by some firm called Pasquines? Doesn't seem very serious to me. This isn't the kind of thing the New York Times is doing.

https://pasquines.us/2026/10/29/terlaje-and-limtiaco-lead-pasquines-poll-in-guams-governor-and-delegate-races/


Of course not because it's Guam but it's the poll that people had.
SBGold
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THROW THE BUMS OUT!

They have done so much damage to us, I love these results

https://www.sfgate.com/politics/article/polls-election-proposition-50-22506744.php

VOTE BLUE
"I Abide by Old and New Rules, and I Never Personally Attack. Gambling is illegal at Bushwood, sir, and I never slice."
dajo9
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BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Polls had it D+44

Yeah I don't know that anyone believed that or really cared about Guam polls. A 7-point swing would be in line with national polls though.


Lol the people who did the poll did.


Who did the poll?

Looks like an opt-in online poll by some firm called Pasquines? Doesn't seem very serious to me. This isn't the kind of thing the New York Times is doing.

https://pasquines.us/2026/10/29/terlaje-and-limtiaco-lead-pasquines-poll-in-guams-governor-and-delegate-races/


Of course not because it's Guam but it's the poll that people had.


Nobody cares about an unscientific poll. All this has shown me is to ignore your X poster.
BearlySane88
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dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Polls had it D+44

Yeah I don't know that anyone believed that or really cared about Guam polls. A 7-point swing would be in line with national polls though.


Lol the people who did the poll did.


Who did the poll?

Looks like an opt-in online poll by some firm called Pasquines? Doesn't seem very serious to me. This isn't the kind of thing the New York Times is doing.

https://pasquines.us/2026/10/29/terlaje-and-limtiaco-lead-pasquines-poll-in-guams-governor-and-delegate-races/


Of course not because it's Guam but it's the poll that people had.


Nobody cares about an unscientific poll. All this has shown me is to ignore your X poster.


Please find a better/different poll for Guam then lmao
BearlySane88
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dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Polls had it D+44

Yeah I don't know that anyone believed that or really cared about Guam polls. A 7-point swing would be in line with national polls though.


Lol the people who did the poll did.


Who did the poll?

Looks like an opt-in online poll by some firm called Pasquines? Doesn't seem very serious to me. This isn't the kind of thing the New York Times is doing.

https://pasquines.us/2026/10/29/terlaje-and-limtiaco-lead-pasquines-poll-in-guams-governor-and-delegate-races/


Of course not because it's Guam but it's the poll that people had.


Nobody cares about an unscientific poll. All this has shown me is to ignore your X poster.


Please find a better/different poll for Guam then lmao


Why? You're the one pushing an agenda.

Class dismissed?


Please stop making jokes or references to my personal life. We have been asked to stop doing that.
dajo9
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BearlySane88 said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Polls had it D+44

Yeah I don't know that anyone believed that or really cared about Guam polls. A 7-point swing would be in line with national polls though.


Lol the people who did the poll did.


Who did the poll?

Looks like an opt-in online poll by some firm called Pasquines? Doesn't seem very serious to me. This isn't the kind of thing the New York Times is doing.

https://pasquines.us/2026/10/29/terlaje-and-limtiaco-lead-pasquines-poll-in-guams-governor-and-delegate-races/


Of course not because it's Guam but it's the poll that people had.


Nobody cares about an unscientific poll. All this has shown me is to ignore your X poster.


Please find a better/different poll for Guam then lmao


Why? You're the one pushing an agenda.

Class dismissed?


Please stop making jokes or references to my personal life. We have been asked to stop doing that.


I'm not posting about your personal life. I dont know anything about you. I'm posting about schooling you.
BearlySane88
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dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Polls had it D+44

Yeah I don't know that anyone believed that or really cared about Guam polls. A 7-point swing would be in line with national polls though.


Lol the people who did the poll did.


Who did the poll?

Looks like an opt-in online poll by some firm called Pasquines? Doesn't seem very serious to me. This isn't the kind of thing the New York Times is doing.

https://pasquines.us/2026/10/29/terlaje-and-limtiaco-lead-pasquines-poll-in-guams-governor-and-delegate-races/


Of course not because it's Guam but it's the poll that people had.


Nobody cares about an unscientific poll. All this has shown me is to ignore your X poster.


Please find a better/different poll for Guam then lmao


Why? You're the one pushing an agenda.

Class dismissed?


Please stop making jokes or references to my personal life. We have been asked to stop doing that.


I'm not posting about your personal life. I dont know anything about you. I'm posting about schooling you.


1) it's an obvious attack on my profession
2) you didn't
dajo9
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BearlySane88 said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Polls had it D+44

Yeah I don't know that anyone believed that or really cared about Guam polls. A 7-point swing would be in line with national polls though.


Lol the people who did the poll did.


Who did the poll?

Looks like an opt-in online poll by some firm called Pasquines? Doesn't seem very serious to me. This isn't the kind of thing the New York Times is doing.

https://pasquines.us/2026/10/29/terlaje-and-limtiaco-lead-pasquines-poll-in-guams-governor-and-delegate-races/


Of course not because it's Guam but it's the poll that people had.


Nobody cares about an unscientific poll. All this has shown me is to ignore your X poster.


Please find a better/different poll for Guam then lmao


Why? You're the one pushing an agenda.

Class dismissed?


Please stop making jokes or references to my personal life. We have been asked to stop doing that.


I'm not posting about your personal life. I dont know anything about you. I'm posting about schooling you.


1) it's an obvious attack on my profession
2) you didn't


I have no idea what you are talking about
Eastern Oregon Bear
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sycasey said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Polls had it D+44

Yeah I don't know that anyone believed that or really cared about Guam polls. A 7-point swing would be in line with national polls though.


Lol the people who did the poll did.


Who did the poll?

Looks like an opt-in online poll by some firm called Pasquines? Doesn't seem very serious to me. This isn't the kind of thing the New York Times is doing.

https://pasquines.us/2026/10/29/terlaje-and-limtiaco-lead-pasquines-poll-in-guams-governor-and-delegate-races/
Yeah, it looks like anyone can choose to participate. It's not surprising that motivated Democrats could overwhelm the poll.
BearlySane88
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SBGold said:

Eastern Oregon Bear said:

BearlySane88 said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Polls had it D+44

Yeah I don't know that anyone believed that or really cared about Guam polls. A 7-point swing would be in line with national polls though.


Lol the people who did the poll did.


Who did the poll?

Looks like an opt-in online poll by some firm called Pasquines? Doesn't seem very serious to me. This isn't the kind of thing the New York Times is doing.

https://pasquines.us/2026/10/29/terlaje-and-limtiaco-lead-pasquines-poll-in-guams-governor-and-delegate-races/


Of course not because it's Guam but it's the poll that people had.


Nobody cares about an unscientific poll. All this has shown me is to ignore your X poster.


Please find a better/different poll for Guam then lmao


Why? You're the one pushing an agenda.

Class dismissed?


Please stop making jokes or references to my personal life. We have been asked to stop doing that.


I'm not posting about your personal life. I dont know anything about you. I'm posting about schooling you.


1) it's an obvious attack on my profession
2) you didn't

Apparently every mention of schools, classrooms, students, teachers and instruction is automatically a reference to BearlySane88.

School is no longer in session?
Recess?

VOTE BLUE!


Please refrain from commenting about my personal life or profession as we have been asked not to do that.
SBGold
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BearlySane88 said:

SBGold said:

Eastern Oregon Bear said:

BearlySane88 said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

dajo9 said:

BearlySane88 said:

sycasey said:

BearlySane88 said:

Polls had it D+44

Yeah I don't know that anyone believed that or really cared about Guam polls. A 7-point swing would be in line with national polls though.


Lol the people who did the poll did.


Who did the poll?

Looks like an opt-in online poll by some firm called Pasquines? Doesn't seem very serious to me. This isn't the kind of thing the New York Times is doing.

https://pasquines.us/2026/10/29/terlaje-and-limtiaco-lead-pasquines-poll-in-guams-governor-and-delegate-races/


Of course not because it's Guam but it's the poll that people had.


Nobody cares about an unscientific poll. All this has shown me is to ignore your X poster.


Please find a better/different poll for Guam then lmao


Why? You're the one pushing an agenda.

Class dismissed?


Please stop making jokes or references to my personal life. We have been asked to stop doing that.


I'm not posting about your personal life. I dont know anything about you. I'm posting about schooling you.


1) it's an obvious attack on my profession
2) you didn't

Apparently every mention of schools, classrooms, students, teachers and instruction is automatically a reference to BearlySane88.

School is no longer in session?
Recess?

VOTE BLUE!


Please refrain from commenting about my personal life or profession as we have been asked not to do that.

I have no idea who you are , where you are from and what you do for a living. Just having mostly respectful, political discussions on this site.

VOTING BLUE SHOULD DO WELL TODAY AND IT'S ALL RIGHT NOW
"I Abide by Old and New Rules, and I Never Personally Attack. Gambling is illegal at Bushwood, sir, and I never slice."
SBGold
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As to the thread topic, this was finally some good news from the SCOTUS:

https://www.ms.now/deadline-white-house/deadline-legal-blog/supreme-court-california-ballot-order-trump-election-meddling-midterms

VOTE BLUE AND KEEP CAL GREAT
"I Abide by Old and New Rules, and I Never Personally Attack. Gambling is illegal at Bushwood, sir, and I never slice."
DiabloWags
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Haven't seen the OP Concord Tom in quite some time.
Same with Yogi, Cal88, ChudBear, Brobear, and others.

Hope they're all around tonight for the Election Results.

I'm headed down to drop off my Ballot.

God Bless America!



When do polls close on Election Day? A guide to voting times in all 50 states | kvue.com
ducky23
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For indiana 5, just yesterday the republican had a 83% chance of winning on Kalshi.

Right now (after early vote) it's now 33%.

Indiana 5 is seen as one of the early bellwethers for whether there might be a blue wave
DiabloWags
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ducky23 said:

For indiana 5, just yesterday the republican had a 83% chance of winning on Kalshi.

Right now (after early vote) it's now 33%.

Indiana 5 is seen as one of the early bellwethers for whether there might be a blue wave

Wow.
The 5th District went from "Likely R" to "Lean R" according to the Cook Political Report.
Spartz's seat had been rated earlier in the year as a "Solid R"




Election Results - WISH-TV
Anarchistbear
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I bet a three horse parlay, Sayed wins Michigan, Sullican wins Alaska and Yaxel wins ROY.
DiabloWags
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Anarchistbear said:

I bet a three horse parlay, Sayed wins Michigan, Sullican wins Alaska and Yaxel wins ROY.


Yaxel was on FIRE against the Clippers!

Scored 37 after the dud against Doncic and the Lakers.
Had 16 last night against the hapless Suns.

ducky23
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Anarchistbear said:

I bet a three horse parlay, Sayed wins Michigan, Sullican wins Alaska and Yaxel wins ROY.


Sullivan is gonna screw you

The next batch of Indiana 5 votes just came in. Doesn't bode well for republicans
SBGold
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Go Hoosiers!

Vote Blue
"I Abide by Old and New Rules, and I Never Personally Attack. Gambling is illegal at Bushwood, sir, and I never slice."
sycasey
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Still early yet, but so for it looks like if polls were wrong it's because they undershot Democrats.
SBGold
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I think Kalshi will be the best predictor

Vote Blue Every Day
"I Abide by Old and New Rules, and I Never Personally Attack. Gambling is illegal at Bushwood, sir, and I never slice."
ducky23
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SBGold said:

I think Kalshi will be the best predictor

Vote Blue Every Day


Well Kalshi has Indiana 5 at dem 84% and Kentucky 6 the dem at 92%

If that's accurate, this is gonna be a bloodbath beyond most people's imaginations.
SBGold
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All hat and no cattle for this admin

https://www.ms.now/opinion/trump-election-rigging-claims-fact-check

P.S. DJT is an evil loser

VOTE BLUE!
"I Abide by Old and New Rules, and I Never Personally Attack. Gambling is illegal at Bushwood, sir, and I never slice."
ducky23
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Talarico up to 92%

Edit: I just put $20 on Paxton. I'm more than happy to pay $20 to turn Texas blue
cal83dls79
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Turns out nobody really cared to talk about the reflecting pool for 2 years.
Priest of the Patty Hearst Shrine
DiabloWags
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Even Texas Gov. Greg Abbott is trailing badly.
SBGold
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Ossoff crushes in GA!

Things looking really good in Indiana also, this is sweet

VOTE BLUE
"I Abide by Old and New Rules, and I Never Personally Attack. Gambling is illegal at Bushwood, sir, and I never slice."
DiabloWags
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sycasey said:

Still early yet, but so for it looks like if polls were wrong it's because they undershot Democrats.


Its early, but 5 GOP Senate seats are being led by Democrats!
cal83dls79
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Dems winning Florida rejiggered districts and making up
+/- 10% on prior Trump districts so others in play
Priest of the Patty Hearst Shrine
DiabloWags
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SBGold said:

Ossoff crushes in GA!

Things looking really good in Indiana also, this is sweet

VOTE BLUE


Saw that.
Hamilton at 57.8% in Kansas against Marshall at 40%.
12% of vote in.
SBGold
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cal83dls79 said:

Dems winning Florida rejiggered districts and making up
+/- 10% on prior Trump districts so others in play

LOL

Eradicate MAGA!

VOTE BLUE
"I Abide by Old and New Rules, and I Never Personally Attack. Gambling is illegal at Bushwood, sir, and I never slice."
DiabloWags
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Dem Roy COOPER projected to WIN in North Carolina!
Wow.

66.8% to 31.6%
Eastern Oregon Bear
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"Look at it this way, Mr. President. Come January, you'll have a whole bunch of new asses to look at."
SBGold
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DiabloWags said:

Dem Roy COOPER projected to WIN in North Carolina!
Wow.

66.8% to 31.6%


HELL YES

Expected though, Repubs stopped spending there as they saw this coming

Still so sweet

VOTE BLUE
"I Abide by Old and New Rules, and I Never Personally Attack. Gambling is illegal at Bushwood, sir, and I never slice."
 
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