Econ141 said:
If we have 100mm to build a practice facility, shouldn't we be able to buy our way into the B1G?
Not sure about "buying" our way into the B1G, but it does suggest a different commitment level than previous. Which is likely something the B1G would want to see if Cal wants into the B1G.
There are some recent behavior signs that suggest Cal is getting more serious about revenue sports. The B1G will absolutely be expanding west. The only questions are when and where. UW is in for sure. UO a very strong likely as well. What about Cal and Stanford? My guess is the B1G would love their academic profile, but Fox Sports may not be on board.
I think another media partner needs to come on board in the B1G media deal to get Cal into the B1G. That could happen after their new commissioner gets officially on board (May 18). There are rumblings that Colorado and Arizona are considering a preemptive jump to the Big 12. They know that the P12 is likely not in a great position longer term. Do they jump now and take a sure deal? Or do they wait and hope that Kliavkoff can get some sort of acceptable media deal that keeps everyone together?
If Colorado and Arizona jump now then the B1G likely moves forward with UW and UO. The P12 is essentially done and the remaining programs scramble for a new home. In that scenario I do believe Cal could get an invite the B1G. The Big 12 is not a fit for Cal. A media deal for the leftover programs will not be acceptable to anyone other than perhaps WSU and OSU both of which have no obvious landing spot in realignment.
There almost certainly will be an expansion of the B1G. A few chips need to fall for it to happen for 2024. But the the timelines are short. Any conference expansion will require some logistical manuevering that takes some time to sort out. My guess is the B1G has various scenarios ready to go if expansion happens now. There is a reason they are still sorting out their scheduling.
We have not heard anything from UW, UO, Stanford or Cal on the proposed media deal. That silence says more than all the talking you hear from UA, ASU, Colorado and Utah IMO. The P12 likely ended as we knew it when USC and UCLA agreed to leave last year. All that remains is the timeline for an official ending. Could be 2024 or 2030 or perhaps even somewhere in between.
Logic suggests there is no way UCLA and USC are left on an island for 5 seasons. I think the remaining programs know this. So do the media companies.