IN SEARCH OF 4 SENATORS WHO FLIP:Senate = 53 GOP vs 47 Dems.
I just learned that while 67 votes are needed to boot Trump from office (which won't happen as things now stand),
only 51 votes are needed in order to establish the RULES of how the Senate Trial will go. Is that right? If so, wow! That takes a lot of wind out of McConnell's sail to quickly sideline the entire event with an ultimate No vote, because I could see FOUR telling McConnell to do more than just accept from House and Put to vote.
Schumer and the Dems want additional facts to come out. They want 4 key people to testify. At first, I was thinking Good Luck on that. But someone on TV pointed out that
the Dems only need to convince 4 senators to side with their effort to open up the Trial. And if the trial opens up, we might hear more damning testimony (Butterfield: "I was aware that there was a recording system." -changed everything.)
Maybe a group of 4 of those listed below will go to McConnell to demand he do something more - which could potentially breathe life to a real impeachment that is successful. I know I'm dreaming, but it's nice to have something to look for.
Hey - whatever it takes to damage the president enough to get him out of office, either thru impeachment or the 2020 election!Who would those 4 votes be?8 Republican senators to watch on impeachment
Senate Republicans aren't expected to break with Trump, but a handful of lawmakers could feel pressure to do so.
Mitt Romney (R-UT)
Susan Collins (R-ME)
Ben Sasse (R-NE)
Joni Ernst (R-IA)
Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)
Martha McSally (R-AZ)
Cory Gardner (R-CO)
Lamar Alexander (R-TN)
To read why those 8 might be turnable, click here:
https://www.vox.com/2019/10/14/20908684/senate-republicans-trump-impeachment-mitt-romney-susan-collins=============================
Another analysis and list:
https://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/2019/1031/Five-senators-to-watch-on-impeachmentThis page lists additional groups:
Still, two key groups in the GOP caucus are worth watching as the impeachment saga moves to the Senate, political observers say. The first is made up of veteran senators who've announced their retirement in 2020. These lawmakers may be looking at how their achievements and decisions over the next year or so might shape the future of the Senate as an institution and their place in history.
Retiring group includes
Lamar Alexander of Tennessee,
Mike Enzi of Wyoming,
Johnny Isakson of Georgia,
Pat Roberts of Kansas
,Richard Burr of North Carolina (whose current term lasts until 2022 but who announced that 2016 would be the last time he'd run for elective office).
The second group consists of GOP senators who are facing
close reelection races and have to navigate between pleasing President Trump's reliable base of voters and the
moderates and independents they may need to secure their seats.
These
close reelection include:
Susan Collins of Maine,
John Cornyn of Texas,
Joni Ernst of Iowa,
Cory Gardner of Colorado,
Martha McSally of Arizona, and
Thom Tillis of North Carolina.
Sen. Mitt Romney of Utah belongs to neither category, but has become President Trump's
most vocal Republican critic in the chamber.
Sen.
Lisa Murkowski of Alaska has also regularly taken positions independent of the party line.
==============================
I could definitely see
Romney putting pressure on McConnell.
Next would be
Murkowski.
Then possibly
Collins, who doesn't like Trump.
Gardner in Colorado is up for reelection in a state that voted for Hillary and is in the process of turning Blue. Maybe he does this to attract Independents.
Sasse has also spoken out against Trump strongly, and I had hopes for him.
Anyways, there's hope for witnesses and evidence.