bearister said:
..and courtesy of KH, it is going to stay that way in 2020.
Why can't you see that Biden is Hillary 2.0, but worse?
Chasing people who are on the fence about Trump is like chasing that girl who won't give you the time of day, while there are many attractive girls interested in you. (Yes, bad analogy.)
Hillary was fantastic, she kicked Trump's ass in the debates. She knew how to go after him. Yet it didn't matter, because the people who would've ordinarily voted Dem in key areas stayed home or voted for a third-party candidate. Because she was a Washington insider who had seemed like she'd been around forever and ever. And was old. And tired.
But Biden? He's actually been in Washington forever! And he is not going to kick Trump's ass in the debates. And he'll stumble, stumble, stumble. Because that's what he does. That's what he's always been. And all the while, he'll be turning off the people who would ordinarily vote Dem -- all in an effort to appeal to "on the fence" people who would likely vote for Trump anyway.
In the TV world, a show that has big ratings in the 18-49 demographic is considered a massive success, even if its total viewership isn't good.
(In TV news, it's the 25-54 demographic.)
If a show has 12 million viewers, but only 3 million in the 18-49 demo, it is considered less successful than a show that has 6 million, but 5 million in the 18-49 demo.
Why? Because people over 49 are stuck in their ways. If they're using AquaFresh, they're unlikely to switch to Crest. They are also easily reachable because they grew up in a time when people actually watched TV without VCRs. Meanwhile, a 19 year old isn't stuck in their ways. Also, they are less likely to watch TV in a traditional way. Thus they are more valuable to advertisers. Thus this is why viewers 18-49 are more valuable.
By pulling for Biden, you want to chase older people who are stuck in their ways, who are unlikely to change -- at the expense of young people, who could prove to have a massive say. Again, the next election is about getting out the vote, getting Obama voters.
Don't forget: Many people born between 1994 and 2002, who weren't allowed to vote for Obama, will be voting in the next election. Meanwhile, many people born before 1950, who voted in the last election, will not be voting for some reason.
You win by exciting people. Biden doesn't excite people. Trump excites people. Obama excites people. Romney, McCain, Kerry and Gore didn't excite people.